#!/usr/bin/env python3
# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
"""
DeepSeek-V3 SLO 目标验证脚本 - 基于腾讯太极团队实际数据修正版

基于腾讯太极团队在16卡H20上实现15,800+ tokens/s的实际性能数据，
重新评估32卡H20部署的SLO目标可达成性。

腾讯团队关键技术:
- PD分离架构 (Prefill/Decode分离)
- 大EP优化 (Expert Parallelism)
- 量化技术 (w4a8c8量化)
- 硬件协同 (Hopper架构优化)
- 系统工程 (框架优化、CUDA Graph等)

测试条件:
- 测试数据集: 3000条业务脱敏数据集
- 最大输入16k，平均输入3.5k
- 最大输出32k，平均输出1.2k
- 限制50ms TPOP，QPM=212
- 实际性能: 15,800+ tokens/s (16卡H20)
"""

import math
from typing import Dict, Any, Tuple

# ============================================================================
# 1. 基础参数配置
# ============================================================================

# DeepSeek-V3 模型架构参数
MODEL_PARAMS = {
    'total_params': 671e9,  # 671B 总参数
    'active_params': 37e9,  # 37B 激活参数
    'num_layers': 61,       # 总层数
    'moe_layers': 58,       # MoE层数
    'dense_layers': 3,      # Dense层数
    'experts_per_layer': 257,  # 每层专家数 (256路由+1共享)
    'routing_experts': 256,    # 路由专家数
    'shared_experts': 1,       # 共享专家数
    'active_experts': 9,       # 激活专家数 (8路由+1共享)
    'd_model': 7168,          # 隐藏层维度
    'd_c': 512,               # MLA压缩KV维度
    'n_heads': 128,           # 注意力头数
    'expert_intermediate_size': 2048,  # 专家中间维度
}

# H20 GPU 硬件配置
HARDWARE_CONFIG = {
    'gpu_memory_gb': 96,      # 单GPU显存 (GB)
    'memory_bandwidth_tbs': 4.0,  # 显存带宽 (TB/s)
    'compute_tflops_bf16': 148,   # BF16计算性能 (TFLOPS)
    'total_gpus': 32,         # 总GPU数量
    'nodes': 4,               # 节点数
    'gpus_per_node': 8,       # 每节点GPU数
    'nvlink_bandwidth_gbs': 900,  # NVLink带宽 (GB/s)
    'roce_bandwidth_gbps': 25,    # ROCEv2带宽 (Gbps)
}

# 并行配置
PARALLEL_CONFIG = {
    'ep_size': 32,  # Expert Parallel
    'tp_size': 1,   # Tensor Parallel
    'pp_size': 1,   # Pipeline Parallel
    'dp_size': 32,  # Data Parallel (等于EP_SIZE)
}

# SLO 目标
SLO_TARGETS = {
    'concurrent_sessions': 200,     # 并发会话数
    'throughput_tokens_per_sec': 50000,  # 吞吐量目标
    'ttft_p50_ms': 800,            # TTFT P50延迟 (ms)
    'context_length': 32768,        # 上下文长度
    'input_tokens': 512,           # 平均输入长度
    'output_tokens': 1200,         # 平均输出长度
}

# 腾讯太极团队实际数据基准
TENCENT_BENCHMARK = {
    'gpus': 16,                    # 测试GPU数量
    'actual_throughput': 15800,    # 实际吞吐量 (tokens/s)
    'tokens_per_gpu': 987.5,       # 单GPU性能 (15800/16)
    'test_conditions': {
        'max_input': 16384,        # 最大输入长度
        'avg_input': 3584,         # 平均输入长度 (3.5k)
        'max_output': 32768,       # 最大输出长度
        'avg_output': 1228,        # 平均输出长度 (1.2k)
        'tpop_limit_ms': 50,       # TPOP限制
        'qpm': 212,                # 每分钟查询数
    },
    'key_optimizations': [
        'PD分离架构',
        '大EP优化',
        'w4a8c8量化',
        'Hopper架构优化',
        'CUDA Graph优化',
        'MTP多层优化',
        '专家负载均衡',
    ]
}

# ============================================================================
# 2. 核心计算函数
# ============================================================================

def calculate_model_memory_distribution():
    """
    计算模型权重在EP模式下的显存分布
    基于DeepSeek-V3架构的精确权重分解
    """
    total_params = MODEL_PARAMS['total_params']
    ep_size = PARALLEL_CONFIG['ep_size']
    
    # 基于DeepSeek-V3架构的权重估算
    # 注意力层权重 (所有GPU复制) - 修正计算
    attention_params = MODEL_PARAMS['num_layers'] * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * 4  # Q,K,V,O
    
    # 路由专家权重 (EP分布)
    routing_expert_params = (
        MODEL_PARAMS['moe_layers'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['routing_experts'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['expert_intermediate_size'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * 2  # up_proj + down_proj
    )
    
    # 共享专家权重 (所有GPU复制)
    shared_expert_params = (
        MODEL_PARAMS['moe_layers'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['shared_experts'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['expert_intermediate_size'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * 2
    )
    
    # Dense层权重 (所有GPU复制) - 包括输入输出嵌入层
    dense_params = (
        MODEL_PARAMS['dense_layers'] * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * 2 +  # Dense FFN
        MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * 128000 * 2  # 输入输出嵌入层 (vocab_size=128k)
    )
    
    # LayerNorm和其他小组件 (所有GPU复制)
    layernorm_params = MODEL_PARAMS['num_layers'] * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * 2  # pre/post norm
    router_params = MODEL_PARAMS['moe_layers'] * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * MODEL_PARAMS['routing_experts']  # 路由器
    
    # 验证总参数量
    calculated_total = attention_params + routing_expert_params + shared_expert_params + dense_params + layernorm_params + router_params
    
    # 如果计算总量与官方数据差异过大，按比例调整
    if abs(calculated_total - total_params) / total_params > 0.1:
        scale_factor = total_params / calculated_total
        attention_params *= scale_factor
        routing_expert_params *= scale_factor
        shared_expert_params *= scale_factor
        dense_params *= scale_factor
        layernorm_params *= scale_factor
        router_params *= scale_factor
    
    # EP模式下单GPU权重分布
    per_gpu_attention = attention_params
    per_gpu_routing_experts = routing_expert_params / ep_size  # 路由专家EP分布
    per_gpu_shared_experts = shared_expert_params  # 共享专家复制
    per_gpu_dense = dense_params
    per_gpu_other = layernorm_params + router_params  # LayerNorm + 路由器
    
    per_gpu_total_params = (
        per_gpu_attention + 
        per_gpu_routing_experts + 
        per_gpu_shared_experts + 
        per_gpu_dense + 
        per_gpu_other
    )
    
    # BFloat16精度下的显存需求 (2 bytes per parameter)
    per_gpu_memory_gb = per_gpu_total_params * 2 / (1024**3)
    
    return {
        'per_gpu_params_b': per_gpu_total_params / 1e9,
        'per_gpu_memory_gb': per_gpu_memory_gb,
        'attention_memory_gb': per_gpu_attention * 2 / (1024**3),
        'routing_experts_memory_gb': per_gpu_routing_experts * 2 / (1024**3),
        'shared_experts_memory_gb': per_gpu_shared_experts * 2 / (1024**3),
        'dense_memory_gb': per_gpu_dense * 2 / (1024**3),
        'other_memory_gb': per_gpu_other * 2 / (1024**3),
        'total_calculated_params_b': calculated_total / 1e9,
    }

def calculate_kv_cache_memory():
    """
    计算KV Cache显存需求 (基于MLA架构)
    """
    context_length = SLO_TARGETS['context_length']
    concurrent_sessions = SLO_TARGETS['concurrent_sessions']
    
    # MLA架构下的KV Cache计算
    # 每个token的KV Cache大小 = 2 * num_layers * d_c * 2 (BFloat16)
    kv_cache_per_token_bytes = (
        2 *  # K和V
        MODEL_PARAMS['num_layers'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['d_c'] *  # MLA压缩维度
        2  # BFloat16
    )
    
    # 单个会话的KV Cache
    kv_cache_per_session_gb = kv_cache_per_token_bytes * context_length / (1024**3)
    
    # 总KV Cache需求
    total_kv_cache_gb = kv_cache_per_session_gb * concurrent_sessions
    
    # TP=1配置下，每个GPU需要存储完整的KV Cache
    per_gpu_kv_cache_gb = total_kv_cache_gb
    
    return {
        'kv_cache_per_token_bytes': kv_cache_per_token_bytes,
        'kv_cache_per_session_gb': kv_cache_per_session_gb,
        'total_kv_cache_gb': total_kv_cache_gb,
        'per_gpu_kv_cache_gb': per_gpu_kv_cache_gb,
    }

def calculate_realistic_concurrent_capacity():
    """
    基于显存约束计算现实的并发能力
    """
    gpu_memory = HARDWARE_CONFIG['gpu_memory_gb']
    weight_dist = calculate_model_memory_distribution()
    
    # 系统开销估算
    system_overhead_gb = 4.0  # 系统开销
    activation_memory_gb = 2.0  # 激活内存
    
    # 可用于KV Cache的显存
    available_for_kv = (
        gpu_memory - 
        weight_dist['per_gpu_memory_gb'] - 
        system_overhead_gb - 
        activation_memory_gb
    )
    
    if available_for_kv <= 0:
        return {
            'available_memory_gb': available_for_kv,
            'max_concurrent_32k': 0,
            'max_concurrent_16k': 0,
            'max_concurrent_8k': 0,
            'memory_feasible': False,
            'weight_memory_gb': weight_dist['per_gpu_memory_gb'],
            'system_overhead_gb': system_overhead_gb,
            'activation_memory_gb': activation_memory_gb,
        }
    
    # 不同上下文长度下的最大并发数
    kv_cache_info = calculate_kv_cache_memory()
    kv_per_token_gb = kv_cache_info['kv_cache_per_token_bytes'] / (1024**3)
    
    max_concurrent_32k = int(available_for_kv / (kv_per_token_gb * 32768))
    max_concurrent_16k = int(available_for_kv / (kv_per_token_gb * 16384))
    max_concurrent_8k = int(available_for_kv / (kv_per_token_gb * 8192))
    
    return {
        'available_memory_gb': available_for_kv,
        'max_concurrent_32k': max_concurrent_32k,
        'max_concurrent_16k': max_concurrent_16k,
        'max_concurrent_8k': max_concurrent_8k,
        'memory_feasible': available_for_kv > 0,
        'weight_memory_gb': weight_dist['per_gpu_memory_gb'],
        'system_overhead_gb': system_overhead_gb,
        'activation_memory_gb': activation_memory_gb,
    }

def calculate_throughput_based_on_tencent_data():
    """
    基于腾讯实际数据计算32卡的预期吞吐量
    """
    tencent_16_card_throughput = TENCENT_BENCHMARK['actual_throughput']
    tencent_tokens_per_gpu = TENCENT_BENCHMARK['tokens_per_gpu']
    
    # 32卡理论吞吐量 (线性扩展)
    theoretical_32_card = tencent_tokens_per_gpu * HARDWARE_CONFIG['total_gpus']
    
    # 考虑扩展效率损失
    scaling_efficiency_conservative = 0.85  # 保守估计
    scaling_efficiency_optimistic = 0.95   # 乐观估计
    
    conservative_throughput = theoretical_32_card * scaling_efficiency_conservative
    optimistic_throughput = theoretical_32_card * scaling_efficiency_optimistic
    
    # 基于并发约束的实际吞吐量
    concurrent_capacity = calculate_realistic_concurrent_capacity()
    max_concurrent = concurrent_capacity['max_concurrent_32k']
    
    if max_concurrent > 0:
        # 修正: 基于腾讯实际数据的吞吐量计算
        # 腾讯16卡实现15,800 tokens/s，我们32卡理论上应该更高
        # 但受限于32K上下文的并发能力，需要重新计算
        
        # 方法1: 基于单GPU性能和实际并发数
        # 假设每个GPU可以同时处理的会话数
        sessions_per_gpu = max_concurrent / HARDWARE_CONFIG['total_gpus']
        if sessions_per_gpu < 1:
            # 如果单GPU处理不到1个会话，说明会话跨GPU分布
            concurrent_constrained_throughput = tencent_tokens_per_gpu * HARDWARE_CONFIG['total_gpus'] * (max_concurrent / 200)  # 按比例缩放
        else:
            # 每个GPU可以处理多个会话
            concurrent_constrained_throughput = min(
                conservative_throughput,  # 不超过硬件理论上限
                tencent_tokens_per_gpu * HARDWARE_CONFIG['total_gpus']  # 基于腾讯基准的线性扩展
            )
    else:
        concurrent_constrained_throughput = 0
    
    return {
        'theoretical_32_card': theoretical_32_card,
        'conservative_estimate': conservative_throughput,
        'optimistic_estimate': optimistic_throughput,
        'concurrent_constrained': concurrent_constrained_throughput,
        'actual_expected': min(conservative_throughput, concurrent_constrained_throughput),
        'tencent_baseline': tencent_16_card_throughput,
        'scaling_efficiency_range': (scaling_efficiency_conservative, scaling_efficiency_optimistic),
    }

def calculate_ttft_latency():
    """
    计算TTFT延迟 (基于实际计算复杂度)
    """
    input_length = SLO_TARGETS['input_tokens']
    
    # 基于DeepSeek-V3架构的FLOPs计算
    # 注意力层FLOPs (简化估算)
    attention_flops_per_layer = (
        4 * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * input_length * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] +  # QKV projection
        2 * input_length * input_length * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] +  # Attention computation
        MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * input_length * MODEL_PARAMS['d_model']  # Output projection
    )
    
    # MoE层FLOPs (只计算激活的专家)
    moe_flops_per_layer = (
        MODEL_PARAMS['active_experts'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['expert_intermediate_size'] * 
        MODEL_PARAMS['d_model'] * 
        input_length * 2  # up_proj + down_proj
    )
    
    # 总FLOPs
    total_attention_flops = attention_flops_per_layer * MODEL_PARAMS['num_layers']
    total_moe_flops = moe_flops_per_layer * MODEL_PARAMS['moe_layers']
    total_flops = total_attention_flops + total_moe_flops
    
    # 考虑GPU效率
    gpu_efficiency = 0.4  # 实际效率约40%
    effective_tflops = HARDWARE_CONFIG['compute_tflops_bf16'] * gpu_efficiency
    
    # 计算时间
    compute_time_ms = (total_flops / 1e12) / effective_tflops * 1000
    
    # 添加其他开销
    memory_transfer_ms = 5.0
    scheduling_overhead_ms = 2.0
    network_overhead_ms = 1.0
    
    total_ttft_ms = compute_time_ms + memory_transfer_ms + scheduling_overhead_ms + network_overhead_ms
    
    return {
        'total_flops': total_flops,
        'effective_tflops': effective_tflops,
        'compute_time_ms': compute_time_ms,
        'memory_transfer_ms': memory_transfer_ms,
        'scheduling_overhead_ms': scheduling_overhead_ms,
        'network_overhead_ms': network_overhead_ms,
        'total_ttft_ms': total_ttft_ms,
        'target_achievement_rate': SLO_TARGETS['ttft_p50_ms'] / total_ttft_ms,
    }

# ============================================================================
# 3. 综合评估报告
# ============================================================================

def generate_comprehensive_report():
    """
    生成基于腾讯实际数据的综合SLO评估报告
    """
    print("="*80)
    print("🎯 DeepSeek-V3 SLO目标验证报告 - 基于腾讯太极团队实际数据")
    print("="*80)
    
    # 1. 腾讯基准数据展示
    print("\n=== 腾讯太极团队实际性能基准 ===")
    print(f"硬件配置: {TENCENT_BENCHMARK['gpus']} 卡 H20-96G")
    print(f"实际吞吐量: {TENCENT_BENCHMARK['actual_throughput']:,} tokens/s")
    print(f"单GPU性能: {TENCENT_BENCHMARK['tokens_per_gpu']:.1f} tokens/s/GPU")
    print(f"测试条件:")
    print(f"  - 平均输入长度: {TENCENT_BENCHMARK['test_conditions']['avg_input']:,} tokens")
    print(f"  - 平均输出长度: {TENCENT_BENCHMARK['test_conditions']['avg_output']:,} tokens")
    print(f"  - TPOP限制: {TENCENT_BENCHMARK['test_conditions']['tpop_limit_ms']} ms")
    print(f"  - QPM: {TENCENT_BENCHMARK['test_conditions']['qpm']}")
    
    print(f"\n关键优化技术:")
    for opt in TENCENT_BENCHMARK['key_optimizations']:
        print(f"  • {opt}")
    
    # 2. 权重分布分析
    print("\n=== 权重分布分析 (EP=32模式) ===")
    weight_dist = calculate_model_memory_distribution()
    print(f"单GPU权重参数: {weight_dist['per_gpu_params_b']:.1f}B")
    print(f"单GPU权重显存: {weight_dist['per_gpu_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"  - 注意力层: {weight_dist['attention_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"  - 路由专家: {weight_dist['routing_experts_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"  - 共享专家: {weight_dist['shared_experts_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"  - Dense层: {weight_dist['dense_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"  - 其他组件: {weight_dist['other_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    
    # 3. KV Cache分析
    print("\n=== KV Cache显存分析 (MLA架构) ===")
    kv_info = calculate_kv_cache_memory()
    print(f"每token KV Cache: {kv_info['kv_cache_per_token_bytes']:,} bytes")
    print(f"单会话KV Cache (32K): {kv_info['kv_cache_per_session_gb']:.3f} GB")
    print(f"目标并发KV Cache: {kv_info['total_kv_cache_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"单GPU KV Cache (TP=1): {kv_info['per_gpu_kv_cache_gb']:.1f} GB")
    
    # 4. 现实并发能力
    print("\n=== 现实并发能力计算 ===")
    concurrent_info = calculate_realistic_concurrent_capacity()
    print(f"单GPU总显存: {HARDWARE_CONFIG['gpu_memory_gb']} GB")
    print(f"权重显存: {concurrent_info['weight_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"系统开销: {concurrent_info['system_overhead_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"激活内存: {concurrent_info['activation_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"可用于KV Cache: {concurrent_info['available_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"显存可行性: {'✅ 可行' if concurrent_info['memory_feasible'] else '❌ 不可行'}")
    
    if concurrent_info['memory_feasible']:
        print(f"\n不同上下文长度下的最大并发数:")
        print(f"  32K tokens: {concurrent_info['max_concurrent_32k']} 会话")
        print(f"  16K tokens: {concurrent_info['max_concurrent_16k']} 会话")
        print(f"   8K tokens: {concurrent_info['max_concurrent_8k']} 会话")
    
    # 5. 基于腾讯数据的吞吐量预估
    print("\n=== 基于腾讯数据的吞吐量预估 ===")
    throughput_info = calculate_throughput_based_on_tencent_data()
    print(f"理论32卡吞吐量: {throughput_info['theoretical_32_card']:,.0f} tokens/s")
    print(f"保守估计 (85%效率): {throughput_info['conservative_estimate']:,.0f} tokens/s")
    print(f"乐观估计 (95%效率): {throughput_info['optimistic_estimate']:,.0f} tokens/s")
    print(f"并发约束吞吐量: {throughput_info['concurrent_constrained']:,.0f} tokens/s")
    print(f"实际预期吞吐量: {throughput_info['actual_expected']:,.0f} tokens/s")
    
    target_achievement = throughput_info['actual_expected'] / SLO_TARGETS['throughput_tokens_per_sec']
    print(f"目标达成率: {target_achievement:.1%}")
    
    # 6. TTFT延迟分析
    print("\n=== TTFT延迟分析 ===")
    ttft_info = calculate_ttft_latency()
    print(f"输入长度: {SLO_TARGETS['input_tokens']} tokens")
    print(f"总FLOPs: {ttft_info['total_flops']:.1e}")
    print(f"有效算力: {ttft_info['effective_tflops']:.1f} TFLOPS")
    print(f"计算时间: {ttft_info['compute_time_ms']:.1f} ms")
    print(f"显存传输: {ttft_info['memory_transfer_ms']:.1f} ms")
    print(f"调度开销: {ttft_info['scheduling_overhead_ms']:.1f} ms")
    print(f"网络开销: {ttft_info['network_overhead_ms']:.1f} ms")
    print(f"总TTFT: {ttft_info['total_ttft_ms']:.1f} ms")
    print(f"目标达成率: {ttft_info['target_achievement_rate']:.1%}")
    
    # 7. 综合SLO评估
    print("\n=== 综合SLO评估结果 ===")
    
    slo_results = {
        '显存可行性': '✅ 达成' if concurrent_info['memory_feasible'] else '❌ 未达成',
        '32K并发目标': '✅ 达成' if concurrent_info['max_concurrent_32k'] >= SLO_TARGETS['concurrent_sessions'] else '❌ 未达成',
        '吞吐量目标': '✅ 达成' if target_achievement >= 1.0 else '❌ 未达成',
        'TTFT目标': '✅ 达成' if ttft_info['target_achievement_rate'] >= 1.0 else '❌ 未达成',
    }
    
    for metric, status in slo_results.items():
        print(f"{metric}: {status}")
    
    # 8. 关键指标总结
    print("\n=== 关键指标总结 ===")
    print(f"• 单GPU权重显存: {weight_dist['per_gpu_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"• 可用KV Cache显存: {concurrent_info['available_memory_gb']:.1f} GB")
    print(f"• 32K最大并发: {concurrent_info['max_concurrent_32k']} 会话 (目标: {SLO_TARGETS['concurrent_sessions']})")
    print(f"• 实际吞吐量: {throughput_info['actual_expected']:,.0f} tokens/s (目标: {SLO_TARGETS['throughput_tokens_per_sec']:,})")
    print(f"• TTFT延迟: {ttft_info['total_ttft_ms']:.1f} ms (目标: {SLO_TARGETS['ttft_p50_ms']})")
    
    # 9. 优化建议
    print("\n=== 优化建议 ===")
    if not concurrent_info['memory_feasible']:
        print("• 显存不足，建议应用FP8量化减少显存占用")
    
    if concurrent_info['max_concurrent_32k'] < SLO_TARGETS['concurrent_sessions']:
        print(f"• 调整并发目标: {SLO_TARGETS['concurrent_sessions']} → {concurrent_info['max_concurrent_32k']} 会话")
        print(f"• 或使用16K上下文: 可支持 {concurrent_info['max_concurrent_16k']} 会话")
    
    if target_achievement < 1.0:
        print(f"• 调整吞吐量目标: {SLO_TARGETS['throughput_tokens_per_sec']:,} → {throughput_info['actual_expected']:,.0f} tokens/s")
        print(f"• 或扩展至 {math.ceil(SLO_TARGETS['throughput_tokens_per_sec'] / TENCENT_BENCHMARK['tokens_per_gpu'])} 卡以达成50,000 tokens/s目标")
    
    print("\n=== 腾讯优化技术应用建议 ===")
    print("• 应用PD分离架构: Prefill和Decode使用不同并行策略")
    print("• 实施大EP优化: 专家负载均衡和通信优化")
    print("• 应用w4a8c8量化: 显存占用减少约50%")
    print("• 优化Hopper架构: 利用TMA、WGMMA指令")
    print("• 实施MTP多层优化: 提升接受率至0.7+")
    
    print("\n" + "="*80)
    print("🎯 基于腾讯实际数据的准确性能评估完成!")
    print("📊 建议基于实际测试数据调整SLO目标")
    print("🔧 参考腾讯优化技术实现性能提升")
    print("="*80)

if __name__ == "__main__":
    generate_comprehensive_report()